Prospects of development of the basic branches of economy of the USA.
Prospects of development of the basic branches of economy of the USA.
(The termination. The beginning in BIKI from February, 12th, 2002).
Cost of services of the companies working in sphere of public health services,
In 2002 as expect, will continue to grow
High rates.
Expensive medicines of new generation and more perfect
Medical researches gain the increasing distribution in
The American medical institutions. Volume of means,
Spent in the USA on public health services, under the forecast "J. P.
Morgan ", will increase from 1,3 bln. dollars (13,4 % of gross national product) in 2001 to
1,37 bln. (14,9 % of gross national product) in 2002
Hospitals start to adapt to reduction gradually
The means allocated with it with the state. (In 1997 the congress of the USA
Has accepted Addition to the balanced budget ("Balanced Budget
Amendment "), according to which, expenses on the program
"Medicare" within 5 years will be lowered on 100 bln. dollars)
The negative factor for expansion of activity of the medical
Establishments current year considerable growth of cost will serve
Labour units. In hospitals sharp shortage is observed
Medical sisters and the highly skilled technical
Workers in laboratories that compels a management of sick-lists
Establishments to spend it is more than means for personnel deduction.
The companies which are engaged in medical insurance, raise
Insurance cost to cover growing costs.
As a result in 2001 of receipt of medical insurance firms from
Insurance awards have increased on 12 - 15 %. Current year, on
To the forecast "J. P. Morgan", profits of the above-named firms will increase
Approximately for the same sum.
Heads of the companies will be compelled to increase expenses on
Medical insurance of the employees. If in 2001 on
The medical insurance of one worker it was allocated on the average 5162
Dollars in 2002 this sum as expect, will increase on 12,8 %.
In 2001 of the price for a clap, rice, a soya-beans and others
The agricultural goods in the USA have fallen to record-breaking low
Level. In this connection, despite the big crop, incomes in
selskomhozjajstve have decreased. Current year, as
Expect, will be more favorable for this branch of economy, but
Slightly. Essential increase of the prices on
The agricultural goods it is not predicted, as on purpose
Overcomings of consequences of world recession many countries will be
To aspire to increase export of agricultural production, that
Will lead to an aggravation of competitive struggle in the world market of data
The goods.
Among positive factors experts mark probability
Faster, than it was expected, growth of the price for corn. It
It is connected with that many farmers have refused cultivation
Corn in advantage a soya-beans for which the big are allocated
The state grants. As a result demand for corn can
To exceed the offer that will lead to a rise in prices for the given goods.
Situation in the markets of other agricultural production not
Is such favorable. Despite demand increase on
Soya-beans (first of all a soya protein) from the states
Europe and Asia, substantial increase of the prices for given production
To the American farmers to wait it is not necessary, as
The Latin American manufacturers a soya-beans who are in the lead on
The European and Asian markets of the given goods, can completely
To satisfy demand.
In connection with delay of rates of development of economy of the USA demand on
Animal industries production by the end of last year has started to decrease.
Sales volume of cars and the equipment for agriculture
Decreases. So, according to the company "Deer and Co", its losses in
Last year have made 64 mln. dollars In 2002 a sales volume
The above-named goods which are let out by North American firms,
Will decrease for 5 %.
Stimulus to agricultural production expansion in
Current year, according to experts "Business Week", will serve
The introduction of China into the WTO which will open ample opportunities for
The American farmers. According to the forecast "American Farm Bureau
Federation ", the Chinese import the soya-beans will increase with approximately 13
Million in m. t to 15 million in 2005
It is expected, that China will turn from the exporter of corn to it
The importer. Increase of personal incomes will stimulate in China
Demand for wheat, beef and fowl.
Recently the American farmers have increased quantity
Grown up by them genetically modified
Agricultural production. However fears apropos
Qualities of the above-named goods and their influence on health of people all
Still interfere with expansion of the American export genetically
Modified production, though the European importers and
Have a little lowered level of the requirements.
To autumn of 2002 a sales volume in retail trade, on
To the forecast "Business Week", will increase approximately on 3 - 5 %.
Current year will be more successful for this sector of economy of the USA,
Than last year. Expected renewal of economic lifting in
To the country will promote growth of consumer trust and
To increase of consumer expenses.
However even after recession, American will end
Consumers, consider experts, will try to save. In communication
With it optimum prospects current year expect
The trading companies trading with discounts (such as "Wal-Mart
Stores ") which will diversify the activity for
The bill of reduction of presence in the market of the specialised
Shops.
One of the companies of retail trade, which in 2002
It will appear among leaders, is "Family Dollar Store", clients
Which - families with a low and average prosperity. A management
The companies plans to increase current year the network from 4247
Shops on 525 (last year it has been opened 502 new
Shop). According to the forecast of J. Mahoni, the vice-president "Family
Dollar Store ", a company sales volume in 2002
Will increase on 5 %, incomes - on 10 %. Specialised shops,
According to experts, will aspire to improve the position not
By means of expansion of the areas, and at the expense of increase
Labour productivity. Last year of 46 % (about 392 billion
Dollars) total amount of expenses of the American families on products
A food it has been directed on acquisition of the food consumed out of
At home. Volume of manufacture of the companies realising a foodstuff,
Current year, under the forecast "Business Week",
Will increase approximately on 1,3 % (in 1998 - 2001 - a gain annually
On the average on 2 %). Rates of development of restaurant business, as
Expect, will make 3,9 % against 5,4 % in 2001
According to M.Sensolo, the vice-president "Food Marketing
Institute ", main principle, which recently
The American buyers and which should are guided
To consider the companies realising a foodstuff, it is convenience.
M.Sensolo considers, that if buyers to offer a choice between
The low prices and convenience, they will choose the last.
One of last innovations successfully entered in the theory
Conveniences, systems of self-scanning, which in many shops
Are used instead of usual cash registers. Such lines
20 % of groceries are equipped. They help buyers
To save time, and to a management of shops - money.
Negative influence on tourist business
Will continue to render consequences of September acts of terrorism. In
The greatest degree airlines will suffer from it, which
It is necessary to undertake the efforts directed on overcoming of fear
Americans before flights and on softening of inconveniences, which
Passengers in connection with strengthening of security measures suffer in
The national airports. However consequences of the terrorist
Certificates, according to experts, can render and positive influence
On activity of airlines which could write off the old
Planes as a result of volume reduction passazhiroperevozok.
As positive stimulus for airlines will serve also reduction of prices
On fuel, and also reduction of pressure from trade unions on
To occasion of increase of wages.
Losses will be incurred also by the hotel business closely connected with
Aviatransportations. By data "Price-waterhouse Coopers", 64 %
The tourist trips providing residing in hotels,
Include aviatransportations. According to forecasts, current year
59,6 % of hotel rooms that is most will be occupied only
Low indicator since 1971 Incomes of hotels in 2002, as
Expect, will again be reduced (to 0,2 % from each number), though and not
So it is considerable, as in 2001 (on 6,7 %). Profit of the companies,
Operating in hotel business, current year will increase only
On 1,8 %.
The firms which are engaged in tenancy of cars, have begun
To carry out more flexible to the policy to result in
Conformity the offer and demand. So, company "Avis" has reduced
The park of cars from 230 thousand to 170 thousand
The author: LS.
<$>
//* an information Source: BIKI, 14.02.02
//* Reg. Nom. - 1120200255.09-------------------------------------------
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