As on how much will rise in price in the summer?
As on how much will rise in price in the summer?
The SUMMER - time to plan. At least the most everyday: that
To prepare in June, where to have a rest in July and where to put up money,
That in August it be not become painfully sick. "AiF" offers
The forecast for three next months.
Dollar growth - on pjatachok in a week.
EVGENIE GAVRILENKOV, the chief executive of the company
"Three-dialogue":
- The dollar will "rise in price" approximately on half-percent a month (on
15 copecks, or on copeck in two days). The prices in June, as well as in May,
Will add on one percent with small, and from the end of July to grow
Will cease or in general will start to decrease.
Recently the dollar exchange rate grows more slowly, than the prices, and
It means, that the rouble becomes stronger. Probably, even becomes stronger
Too strongly. For the Russian economy it would be better, if
The rouble was weaker or at least the dollar "rose in price" level with
Inflation, that is on 1 % a month. But in the near future it vrjad
Whether will occur. The prices for oil hardly will fall below 20 dollars
For barrel. Central Bank reserves for last week have grown
It is more than on billion dollars. So in August for dollar
Will give about 31 rouble of 80 copecks.
The shish kebab becomes cheaper.
Elena TYURIN, the director of Institute of agrarian marketing:
- Meat in a heat traditionally eat less, therefore it is possible to expect
Stabilisation of the prices for a bird and beef. And here pork in June,
Probably, even will fall in price on 3-4 % (for 5 rbl.).
The summer prices for sugar entirely depend on the procuring
Passion of the Russian housewives. It is expected, that since July sugar will begin
To rise in price on 5-7 % a month. Vegetable oil will "add"
Maximum on 1 %: though the domestic production is reduced, it
With success replaces the import. The prices for a flour, grechku and other groats
Will not vary. The only thing that can influence on
The market, - weather. Now in Chernozem region a drought, it can impair a little
Crop of the winter. The adverse forecast and for a rice crop - the prices on
It will grow on 2-3 % (60-90 copeck) a month.
Jeanne EVDOKIMOVA, the expert of the All-Russia institute
The consumer market and marketing:
- The vodka market is quiet as never. On the average alcohol rises in price
Approximately on 1 % a month (30-70 copeck). Creep a little bit faster
Upwards the prices for cognac and wine.
From neprodovolstvennyh from the beginning of year while it is appreciable
- approximately the footwear, furniture and ware have risen in price for 5 % only,
Home appliances - 3,5-4 %.
Recently gasoline has started to rise in price. It, naturally,
Will pull behind itself other prices - after all expenditure for transportation
Are put in pawn in cost of any goods. However, they do not exceed
15-20 %. Hence, and rise in price because of gasoline the goods can not
More than on 2-2,5 % (for example, the price for beef will grow on 2,5
Rbl.). Actually the prices can grow more - on the average
Approximately on 4-5 %: as always, sellers will use a rise in price
Gasoline as an occasion also will inflate the prices.
Till the end of summer, by our estimation, the potato and vegetables will fall in price in
Average on 20-25 % (the young potato will cost for 8 rbl.
It is less). Therefore as a whole together with other goods
Some reduction of prices, approximately on 4-5 % is supposed even.
However, taking into account gasoline decrease can be smaller, and even
At all the prices remain invariable.
Where to move?
In ASSOCIATION of travel agencies to us have told, that the prices
On permits in those directions which especially like the Russian
Tourists, this year have grown. In particular, Turkey has risen in price on
25 % (150$) though predicted only 10 % (60$). Now two weeks
For two there are not less than 600 dollars. Rounds to Cyprus and to Croatia
Too can rise in price a little: local hotels have raised the prices on
15-40 %. Two weeks will manage approximately in 400 c.u. from the person.
As much there is modern Tunis.
Planning the holiday abroad, do not forget that the price
Will grow during all season. For example, in June week in
Spain will manage in 550 dollars, and in August - already in 990.
Rest on the Russian resorts is more accessible. That
To buy the permit on two weeks in Sochi, Anapa, Gelendzhik, it is necessary to have
Minimum of 7-8 thousand roubles. Approximately as much there is a rest in
Moscow suburbs and the Central Russia. The Caucasian Mineral Waters still
More expensively - 10-12 thousand.
But railwaymen promise, that tickets will not rise in price. And
Tour operators add, that all perturbations with "noisy"
By planes have not affected neither cost of flights, nor on comfort.
"VAZ" and demand.
The VOLGA automobile factory since May, 28th has raised cost prices in
Average on 2,84 %. - "five" has least risen in price for one thousand
Roubles, and here model 2111 price has jumped up already on 11 thousand.
"Seven", and also 213th and 214th "Field" while remained without
Changes.
According to the representative Vladimir Artsekova's Autovase, it
Rise in price planned: "We counted it in advance with the account
Changes of the prices for the electric power, a cargo transportation. VAZ for a long time already
Declared figure in 10,5 %. 11 % As a result turn out. But it all the same
It is less, than inflation. We do not want, that our cars have ceased
To buy. And the prices have lifted only on those models which use
The greatest demand and on which dealers establish the high
The extra charge ". The following rise in price will occur, most likely, in
The beginning of autumn. It should not exceed 3 %.
Veronica SIVKOVA, Maxim TCHIZHOV.
<$>
//* an information Source: Arguments and the facts, 5.06.02
//* Reg. Nom. - 1120600054.27-------------------------------------------
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